UPDATE 6/1 7:42a
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 1 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula is associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, and Belize during the next day or so, spreading across western Cuba, South Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
UPDATE 5/31 1:42p
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days, partially related to the remnants of Agatha from the eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the area, this system is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico late Thursday or Friday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize during the next couple of days, spreading across western Cuba, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Tomorrow is the start of Atlantic Hurricane season and forecasters already have their eyes on a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico.
A tropical depression could develop from the remnants of Hurricane Agatha, a Pacific storm that hit Mexico yesterday.
The National Hurricane Center is putting cyclone formation at 60-percent over the next five days and forecasters are predicting heavy rain across southern Florida by the end of the week.
Florida's Disaster Preparedness Tax Holiday is underway through June 10th giving you the opportunity to stock up on hurricane supplies without having to pay sales tax.
Photo: NHC