1: What will the results of the coin toss be?
Heads (-104)
Tails (-104)
Fanduel Sportsbook
Previous five years results:
2021: Heads (Chiefs)
2020: Tails (49ers)
2019: Tails (Rams)
2018: Heads (Patriots)
2017: Tails (Falcons)
Prediction: Well, it’s a coin toss, so… with three of the past five Super Bowl coin tosses coming up Tails, maybe Heads is now due? Plus, Tails is currently in the lead overall in Super Bowls 29 to 26 over Heads.
2. Will the team that wins the coin toss also win the Super Bowl?
Yes (-104)
No (-104)
FanDuel Sportsbook
Previous five years results:
2021: No (Chiefs)
2020: No (49ers)
2019: No (Rams)
2018: No (Patriots)
2017: No (Falcons)
Prediction: Based on the past five years’ results, the answer to this prop bet question would be No. Let’s take a step further though, shall we? We shall. Going back five more years, the team that won the coin toss lost the game three more times. Another five years and two more teams lost. Five more and four more teams who won the toss lost. So over the past 20 Super Bowls, the team that won the coin toss ended up losing the game 14 times.
3. Will the team that scores first win the game?
Yes (-205)
No (+166)
FanDuel Sportsbook
Previous five years results:
2021: No (Chiefs)
2020: No (49ers)
2019: Yes (Patriots)
2018: Yes (Eagles)
2017: No (Falcons)
Prediction: Much like winning the coin toss, scoring first in the Super Bowl, at least over the last five years, has little bearing on winning the game. Despite that, the sportsbooks appear to believe that it does. Take advantage of that and pick Yes.
4. How will the first points be scored?
Touchdown (-170)
Field Goal (+125)
Safety (+2500)
DraftKings Sportsbook
Previous five years results:
2021: Field Goal (Chiefs)
2020: Field Goal (49ers)
2019: Field Goal (Patriots)
2018: Field Goal (Eagles)
2017: Touchdown (Falcons)
Prediction: While betting on the first score of the Super Bowl to be a safety is almost too tempting to pass up every year, recent historical data strongly suggests that one of these two teams will get on the board first with a field goal.
5. How many field goals will be successfully made?
Over 3.5 (+110)
Under 3.5 (-150)
DraftKings Sportsbook
Previous five years results:
2021: 4
2020: 3
2019: 3
2018: 5
2017: 2
Prediction: Historically, there have been an average of 3.4 field goals per game over the past five Super Bowls. With Evan McPherson (84.8%) and Matt Gay (85.9%) both being very accurate kickers combined with the Bengals and Rams both having very solid defenses, there could be a lot of field goals in this Super Bowl. Go with the over.
6. What will be the longest field goal made?
Over 47.5 yards (-110)
Under 47.5 yards (-125)
DraftKings Sportsbook
Previous five years results:
2021: 52 yards (Chiefs)
2020: 42 yards (49ers)
2019: 53 yards (Rams)
2018: 46 yards (Eagles)
2017: 41 yards (Patriots)
Prediction: Evan McPherson went 9-11 on field goals over 50 yards this year, plus he’s been 3-3 in the postseason. Matt Gay went 4-5 this season (0-1 in the postseason) and is 10-14 over the past three seasons. Take the over.
Check out the rest of these prop bets and stats are Courtesy of Brobible https://brobible.com/sports/article/super-bowl-prop-bets-prior-results/